Actual Median Weekly Earnings: CPI vs. Chained CPI


The pattern in actual median weekly earnings seems totally different relying on deflator.

Determine 1: Median weekly earnings, deflated by CPI (blue), deflated by Chained CPI seasonally adjusted (tan), each in logs, 2010Q4=0. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Chained CPI seasonally adjusted on month-to-month foundation utilizing X-13/X-11. Supply: BLS, NBER, and creator’s calculations.

Utilizing the CPI, actual median weekly earnings in 2022Q3 are slighly decrease than they have been pre-pandemic, whereas utilizing the chained CPI, they have been slighlty larger.




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