Supply: Federal Reserve Financial institution of Philadelphia
The Coincident State Indexes for October 2022 snuck out final week proper earlier than Thanksgiving. You might need missed it in the course of the vacation week, however it’s price reviewing.
The specifics are noteworthy:
-Over the previous month, the indexes elevated in 20 states, decreased in 22 states, and remained secure in eight, making a one-month diffusion index of -4.
-Over the previous three months, the indexes elevated in 36 states, decreased in 11 states, and remained secure in three
-The three-month diffusion index is 50 (breakeven)
The financial system is slowing, and a few states are doing nice, some okay, some much less so. The coincident index can present you precisely the place:
Texas, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Massachusetts are all booming. California, Washington, Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, South Dakota, Louisiana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia are all increasing.
The down states: Montana, Wyoming Oklahoma, West Virginia, Maryland, Connecticut, and Maine are all contracting; slowing (rather less) are Kansas Arizona, and Mississippi.
The FOMC will increase are having an influence.
Beforehand:
Indicators of Softening (July 29, 2022)
Why Recessions Matter to Buyers (July 11, 2022)
Gentle Touchdown RIP (July 25, 2022)
Coincident Index by States (Could 22, 2008)
